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MGM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: MGM's strategic expansions, including projects like Osaka, poised for revenue growth. Positive sentiment from ongoing tourism recovery and digital ventures enhances future prospects.



Bearish Case: Concerns over economic downturns affecting tourism, regulatory challenges, and cybersecurity issues could hinder growth. Implied volatility signals market uncertainty, reflecting cautious sentiment.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful Osaka development boosts revenue: 65%.

2. Economic downturn impacts tourism: 25%.

3. Regulatory hurdles impede growth: 10%.



Trading Oracle: Trade bullish put spreads by selling $32.5 puts and buying $31 puts expiring in 24 days. Exploit lower percentile volatility and positive outlook with a 76% probability of profit, targeting a 15% potential return. This strategy minimizes risk while capturing upside potential from recovering market sentiment.


January 30, 2025


MGM Resorts International Forecast

MGM        MGM Resorts International

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