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MP Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: High demand in EV and tech sectors, coupled with strategic partnerships, could drive MP’s price upwards despite geopolitical tensions.



Bearish Case: High market volatility and geopolitical tensions, particularly U.S.-China trade issues, may suppress MP’s price, reflecting ongoing uncertainty.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Price recovery due to sector demand: 35%
  • Sideways movement amid volatility: 35%
  • Decline from geopolitical risks: 30%


May 21, 2025


MP Materials Forecast

MP        MP Materials

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MP


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (0.89)


TPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPR  Tapestry (0.89)


ZLAB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZLAB  Zai Lab (0.88)


COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (0.88)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MP


SLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLS  SELLAS Life Sciences (0.0)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (-0.01)


JBLU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JBLU  Jetblue Airways (-0.02)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (0.03)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (-0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MP


FSLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSLR  First Solar (-0.85)


MYGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MYGN  Myriad Genetics (-0.86)


NVO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVO  Novo Nordisk (-0.86)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.87)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.89)







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