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MP Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: MP benefits from strong demand in EV and renewable sectors, supported by U.S. initiatives to boost domestic production, potentially increasing prices.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical underperformance reflect persistent uncertainties, geopolitical risks, and competition, potentially pressuring prices.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% Chance: Continued growth due to demand surge in rare earths.
  • 35% Chance: Decline from competitive pressures and market volatility.
  • 35% Chance: Sideways movement as uncertainties persist.


March 24, 2025


MP Materials Forecast

MP        MP Materials

4 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

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36 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MP


DAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAL  Delta Air Lines (0.88)


TPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPR  Tapestry (0.85)


DB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DB  Deutsche (0.84)


DAVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAVE  Dave (0.83)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MP


DOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOC  Physicians Realty (0.0)


TOL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TOL  Toll Brothers (-0.01)


HAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HAS  Hasbro (0.01)


NOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOG  Northern Oil and Gas (-0.02)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MP


ENPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENPH  Enphase Energy (-0.74)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.74)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.77)


FXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXP  ProShares UltraShort FTSE China 50 (-0.82)


IONS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONS  Ionis Pharmaceuticals (-0.88)







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