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MP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong demand in EV and tech sectors could propel MP upwards. Strategic positioning and recent government support indicate potential growth, despite high volatility.

Bearish Case: Persistent high volatility and geopolitical tensions could lead to further declines. Economic pressures and historical underperformance amplify downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: Recovery (45%): Driven by EV sector demand. Sideways (30%): Market uncertainty sustains. Decline (25%): Ongoing volatility and geopolitical risks.

June 20, 2025

MP Materials Forecast

MP MP Materials

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MP

GILD Gilead Sciences (0.89)

SRAD Sportradar Group AG (0.89)

JFIN Jiayin (0.89)

ALHC Alignment Healthcare (0.87)

TPR Tapestry (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MP

KKR KKR (0.0)

RF Regions Financial (0.01)

D Dominion Energy (-0.02)

RVLV Revolve (-0.02)

DNA Ginkgo Bioworks (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MP

MYGN Myriad Genetics (-0.84)

COTY Coty (-0.84)

FSLR First Solar (-0.85)

AEO American Eagle Outfitters (-0.85)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.86)

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