PH Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PH's robust historical performance and industrial strength suggest continued growth. Low volatility favors upside potential.




Bearish Case: High P/B ratio, insider selling, and put volume spike raises overvaluation concerns, risking potential correction.




Potential Outcomes: 70% continued growth; 25% correction. Growth supported by fundamentals and history; correction risks from valuation.




Trading Oracle: Employ bearish credit spreads by selling $660 calls and buying $680 calls expiring in ~42 days. This strategy plays on potential valuation correction and current bullish edge. Profitable with 75% probability and 100% annualized return.



January 12, 2025


Parker-Hannifin Forecast

PH        Parker-Hannifin











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