RIVN Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Positive partnership with Volkswagen, strong production growth, and favorable long-term forecasts boost investor confidence.


Bearish Case: Persistent profitability struggles, cash burn issues, and ongoing legal actions threaten financial stability and investor sentiment.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Coalition with Volkswagen strengthens (40%),

2. Continued cash burn (50%),

3. Positive Q4 revenue report (30%),

4. Legal troubles mount (20%).


Trading Oracle: Trade bullish debit spreads expiring in September 2024. Focus on strikes slightly above current market price to leverage moderate volatility. Time outlook is medium-term with high reward-to-risk ratio. Gameplan has positive edge leveraging bullish momentum and production growth.


July 17, 2024


Rivian Automotive Forecast

RIVN      Rivian Automotive











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RIVN



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.85)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.62)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.44)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.69)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RIVN



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.44)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.62)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.69)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.85)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RIVN



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.85)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.62)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.44)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.69)





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