SCHD Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SCHD's stable dividend growth and favorable economic conditions make it a solid long-term hold. Its low implied volatility supports potential upward price movement.




Bearish Case: SCHD faces risks from sector concentration and high implied volatility in near-term options, indicating potential price swings and economic uncertainty.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued uptrend (50%) driven by stable dividends and economic recovery.

2. Stable near current levels (30%) amid market fluctuations.

3. Downturn risk due to economic shifts (20%).




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February 06, 2025


Schwab US Dividend Equity Forecast

SCHD        Schwab US Dividend Equity











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SCHD



SPYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYV  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.98)


IWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWD  iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.98)


UDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDOW  ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.94)


CINF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CINF  Cincinnati Financial (0.94)


DDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDM  ProShares Ultra Dow30 (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SCHD



ODFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODFL  Old Dominion Freight Line (-0.0)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.01)


GIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIS  General Mills (-0.01)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (-0.01)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SCHD



XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.82)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.83)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.84)


BLDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLDP  Ballard Power Systems (-0.87)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)









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