SCHD Forecast


Bullish Case: SCHD's implied volatility is relatively low, signaling potential for upward price movement. Its historical return suggests stability and attractive dividend growth, which could attract buyers. Positive market sentiment could enhance interest in dividend stocks.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility at lower price thresholds may forecast sharp price swings downward, compounded by economic uncertainty. Recent performance trends point to sustained underperformance, potentially challenging outlooks for dividends & growth.




Potential Outcomes:

1. SCHD rallies to $34 (40% chance) due to renewed investor interest.


2. Stabilizes around $29 (30% chance) as market sentiment levels off.


3. Drops to $25 (20% chance) driven by market downturn.


4. Falls below $23 (10% chance) from unexpected economic shocks.




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November 27, 2024


Schwab US Dividend Equity Forecast

SCHD        Schwab US Dividend Equity











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SCHD



TMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMO  Thermo Fisher Scientific (0.75)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (0.72)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (0.72)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.61)


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.61)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SCHD



EPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPR  EPR Properties (0.0)


CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (-0.0)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.0)


RJF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RJF  Raymond James Financial (-0.01)


SUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUM  Summit Materials (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SCHD



WMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMG  Warner Music (-0.53)


LULU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LULU  Lululemon Athletica inc. (-0.53)


SRRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRRK  Scholar Rock (-0.65)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (-0.7)


MAXN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAXN  Maxeon Solar (-0.82)









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