Bullish Case: RULE's adaptive strategy could capitalize on current market uncertaintyHelium. With historical data showing likelihood of positive returns over longer holding periods, there's potential for gains driven by favorable regulatory and legal developments.

Bearish Case: Political instability and skepticism about RULE's strategy might depress investor sentimentHelium. The historical return surface shows a likelihood of negative returns over short holding periods, amplifying risk in the short termHelium.

Potential Outcomes: Market stabilization (50%) if legal clarity emerges; political turmoil (30%) causing downturns; regulatory reforms (20%) boosting confidence.

Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread by buying a $20 call and selling a $22 call with a 1-3 month horizon. This exploits potential regulatory boosts and positive return probabilities over longer holding windows, leveraging moderate volatility.

January 14, 2025