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SAP Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: SAP's ongoing cloud transformation and AI initiatives, coupled with strong high-tech investments, position it for future growth. The flat implied volatility and increased bullish risk signal potential for upward price movement.



Bearish Case: Despite growth prospects, SAP faces litigation risks and slow customer migration to S/4HANA. High competition and market volatility could impede growth, while valuation concerns remain significant.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance of moderate growth leveraging cloud and AI.
  • 30% risk of stagnation from competition and market pressures.
  • 20% chance of downturn due to legal and operational challenges.



Trading Oracle: Ensure profitability with a Bearish Short Volatility strategy, given potential litigation risks and market pressures. Short ATM call options with OTM protection enhance downside protection while capitalizing on current volatility levels. Utilize this strategy.


April 01, 2025


Sap SE Forecast

SAP        Sap SE

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CHWY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHWY  Chewy (0.92)


DFS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFS  Discover Financial Services (0.92)


BFLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BFLY  Butterfly Network (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SAP


ROIV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROIV  Roivant Sciences (-0.01)


EXAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXAS  Exact Sciences (-0.03)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (0.08)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.08)


ROST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROST  Ross Stores (0.09)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SAP


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.9)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.91)


CRON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRON  Cronos (-0.91)


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.92)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.95)







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