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SAP Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: SAP's ongoing cloud transformation and AI initiatives, coupled with strong high-tech investments, position it for future growth. The flat implied volatility and increased bullish risk signal potential for upward price movement.



Bearish Case: Despite growth prospects, SAP faces litigation risks and slow customer migration to S/4HANA. High competition and market volatility could impede growth, while valuation concerns remain significant.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance of moderate growth leveraging cloud and AI.
  • 30% risk of stagnation from competition and market pressures.
  • 20% chance of downturn due to legal and operational challenges.



Trading Oracle: Ensure profitability with a Bearish Short Volatility strategy, given potential litigation risks and market pressures. Short ATM call options with OTM protection enhance downside protection while capitalizing on current volatility levels. Utilize this strategy.


April 01, 2025


Sap SE Forecast

SAP        Sap SE

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CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (0.95)


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Uncorrelated Assets

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EXAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXAS  Exact Sciences (-0.01)


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EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.01)


TSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSN  Tyson Foods (-0.01)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SAP


RIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIG  Transocean (-0.91)


GLL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLL  ProShares UltraShort Gold (-0.91)


DOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOW  Dow (-0.93)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.94)


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