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Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Sinclair’s investment in digital and streaming can offset cord-cutting losses, while political leverage might secure favorable FCC outcomes. Upside potential driven by strategic shift and undervaluation.



Bearish Case: Sinclair's debt issues, coupled with regulatory and cord-cutting pressures, threaten financial stability. Implied volatility and return patterns suggest continued downside risk, especially with market skepticism.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Financial instability leads to significant declines (55%).

2. Revenue growth from digital transition (45%).

3. Increased volatility due to regulatory challenges (35%).



Trading Oracle: Bearish Long Volatility Strategy focuses on buying and selling put options to capitalize on high implied volatility and declining conditions. Leverages mean reversion and downside risks for strategic positioning.


April 18, 2025


Sinclair Broadcast Group Forecast

SBGI        Sinclair Broadcast Group

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