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AI SFBS Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Earnings surprises and consistent dividend increases could drive SFBS above $85, reflecting robust business growth and investor confidence.

Bearish Case: Economic headwinds and disappointing earnings may plunge SFBS below $70, exacerbated by high implied volatility indicating market skepticism.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings beat (25%), stock rises 5-10%.

2. Market stability (40%), flat to slight decline.

3. Dividend raise (20%), pushing stock to $80+.

4. Economic downturn (15%), stock below $70.

Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a bullish debit spread using SFBS 10/18/2024 80.00 C. Leverage market volatility while targeting short-term gains on earnings optimism, delivering high reward with managed risk.

August 20, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SFBS

WAL Western Alliance Bancorp (0.94)

IAT BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Regional Banks (0.93)

LC LendingClub (0.91)

BLK Blackrock (0.9)

DPST Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SFBS

HRZN Horizon Technology Finance (0.0)

UPWK Upwork (-0.0)

EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil (0.0)

AMBA Ambarella (0.0)

UNIT Uniti (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SFBS

BOIL ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.74)

TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.75)

FNGR FingerMotion (-0.76)

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.84)

DRV Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)

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