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XP Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: XP's recent implied volatility shows high market uncertainty, suggesting potential gains if positive market dynamics develop. Furthermore, increased call option volumes reflect optimism among traders, indicating possible upward momentum.



Bearish Case: XP's current price is significantly down from previous years, and high implied volatility reflects skepticism. If economic conditions worsen or unfavorable regulatory news emerges, prices could decline further.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth resurgence driven by new product adoption (30%)
  • Stagnation around current levels if market disinterest persists (40%)
  • Decline influenced by negative economic shifts (30%)



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December 21, 2024


XP Forecast

XP        XP

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with XP


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.89)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (0.89)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (0.87)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.86)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to XP


NKLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKLA  Nikola (-0.0)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.0)


OLPX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLPX  Olaplex (-0.01)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (0.01)


GIII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIII  G-III Apparel (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against XP


COOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COOP  Mr. Cooper (-0.86)


VIRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIRT  Virtu Financial (-0.88)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.88)


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (-0.9)


AGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGX  Argan (-0.9)







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