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STZ Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: STZ’s strong beer segment, especially Modelo, coupled with strategic pricing and premiumization efforts, offsets economic pressures, enhancing growth potential.

Bearish Case: Persistent inflation erodes margins, and immigration policies negatively impact key demographics, challenging sales and growth in core segments.

Potential Outcomes: 45% Beer segment drives growth due to resilient demand.
35% Inflation pressures margins, causing stagnation.
15% Wine and spirits underperform, limiting upside.
5% Political/regulatory changes introduce volatility.

May 11, 2025

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STZ Constellation Brands

Price Forecast
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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to STZ

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DDOG Datadog (-0.02)

CAT Caterpillar (-0.02)

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DKS Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against STZ

JPM JPMorgan Chase (-0.84)

PL Planet Labs PBC - (-0.85)

EOSE Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.85)

LNG Cheniere Energy (-0.85)

LRN Stride (-0.88)

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