SVC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SVC's undervalued price-to-book ratio at 0.9 and improving social media sentiment offer potential for recovery if economic conditions stabilize.




Bearish Case: Persistent debt concerns, high implied volatility, and recent flat performance suggest ongoing financial struggles for SVC.




Potential Outcomes: Flat performance (40%), modest recovery (25%), continued decline (30%), unexpected rally (5%).




Trading Oracle: Implement a mixed strategy with long-dated debit spreads on SVC calls due to moderate volatility and potential for market recovery. Simultaneously, short high-volatility puts for near-term gains. Timeframe: medium to long term, targeting profitable price moves towards $5.



February 05, 2025


Service Properties Forecast

SVC        Service Properties











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Anticorrelated Assets

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