SVC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SVC could see upside due to strategic partnerships and mean reversion trends, supported by social media optimism and potential for a reversal from recent lows.




Bearish Case: High debt levels and persistent negative return tendencies suggest continued declines, exacerbated by macroeconomic challenges and elevated implied volatility.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30%: Modest recovery on improved sentiment and partnerships.
  • 50%: Continued decline from structural issues.
  • 15%: Sideways trading due to mean reversion.
  • 5%: Unexpected rally on positive macro shifts.



May 20, 2025


Service Properties Forecast

SVC        Service Properties











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SVC



VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.93)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (0.92)


SBLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBLK  Star Bulk Carriers (0.92)


CVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVE  Cenovus Energy (0.91)


ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SVC



GROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GROY  Gold Royalty (-0.0)


FLYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLYW  Flywire (0.01)


APPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APPN  Appian (-0.01)


STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (0.01)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SVC



PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.81)


AXON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXON  Axon Enterprise (-0.83)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.83)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.83)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.84)









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