SVC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SVC’s low price-to-book ratio and potential mean reversion provide favorable conditions for a rebound, with strategic property acquisitions supporting long-term growth.




Bearish Case: SVC faces significant financial pressure from high debt levels and a bearish historical trend, along with negative market sentiment influenced by economic uncertainties.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Dividend stability (35%): Maintains current yield despite pressures.

2. Continued decline (40%): Economic and debt challenges persist.

3. Modest recovery (20%): Strategic improvements catalyze rebound.

4. Unexpected market rally (5%): Driven by macroeconomic shifts.



April 16, 2025


Service Properties Forecast

SVC        Service Properties











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SVC



DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.93)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.92)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.91)


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (0.91)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SVC



FLYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLYW  Flywire (0.01)


BHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHC  Bausch Health Companies (-0.01)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.01)


RVMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVMD  Revolution Medicines (-0.01)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SVC



YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (-0.84)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.85)


GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.86)


FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (-0.86)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.87)









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