TAL Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TAL's digital expansion and favorable regulatory shifts provide a strong upside. The term structure's backwardation hints at potential price gains with 93% more call activity than puts.




Bearish Case: Ongoing regulatory pressures and high volatility suggest potential instability. Recent price drops indicate investor caution, augmented by adverse market conditions.




Potential Outcomes: Digital growth (60%) boosts market share despite volatility risks. Regulatory hurdles (30%) persist, potentially impacting stability. Competitive pressures (10%) may further limit growth.




Trading Oracle:

Exploit upside potential with bullish long volatility strategy. Buy $11 calls, sell $13 calls for leveraged gains in a volatile market, focusing on the backwardation in implied volatility and strong bullish bias.



April 24, 2025


TAL Education Forecast

TAL        TAL Education











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