KOLD Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: KOLD is experiencing a strong upward price trend (15.4% weekly increase), corroborated by a +1.13% forecast. High short-term implied volatility (120.57%) signals potential upward movement.


Bearish Case: KOLD's historical mean reversion and significant past declines (-77.8% in five years) forecast it might return to lower levels. Elevated Helium-Market volatility spread indicates potential downside.


Potential Outcomes: 60% chance KOLD follows historical mean reversion and declines; 25% chance of upward trend due to current momentum; 15% chance external market factors drive increased volatility.


Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish short-volatility strategy. Sell an $80.0 strike call and buy an $85.0 strike call expiring in ~32 days. Expected profit edge: 68%; risk-reward ratio: 1:0.3; theta: $0.9; annual return: 11%.


July 16, 2024


ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas Forecast

KOLD      ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas











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