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TOST Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Toast's AI-driven restaurant tech accelerates growth, tapping into the $24B SMB sector with rising ARR and a strong market presence.

Bearish Case: High valuation and market saturation risks persist, with options showing greater bearish sentiment and potential regulatory challenges.

Potential Outcomes: 60%: Continued growth via innovation.
25%: Stagnation from competition.
15%: Regulatory and macroeconomic impacts.

June 20, 2025

Toast Forecast

TOST Toast

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TOST

RCL Royal Caribbean (0.96)

ARKF ARK Fintech Innovation (0.96)

AXON Axon Enterprise (0.94)

XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.92)

IGV BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TOST

RGEN Repligen (0.0)

BHC Bausch Health Companies (-0.01)

HES Hess (0.01)

DXC DXC Technology (-0.02)

UA Under Armour (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TOST

BCE BCE (-0.73)

HII Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.74)

KHC Kraft Heinz (-0.78)

CNC Centene (-0.79)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.82)

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