TOST Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Toast's innovation and market expansion, coupled with elevated call volumes and implied volatility in contango, suggest growth potential.




Bearish Case: Regulatory risks and competitive pressures present challenges. High past volatility and mean reversion may cause price declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Innovative growth and expansion: 60%
  • Competition-led stagnation: 25%
  • Regulatory and macro impacts: 15%



May 18, 2025


Toast Forecast

TOST        Toast











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TOST



RCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCL  Royal Caribbean (0.96)


BAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAM  Brookfield Asset (0.93)


XLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLF  Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.92)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (0.92)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TOST



HBM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HBM  Hudbay Minerals (-0.01)


ED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ED  Consolidated Edison (-0.01)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (0.01)


RPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPD  Rapid7 (0.02)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TOST



NVO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVO  Novo Nordisk (-0.75)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.78)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.78)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.8)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.81)









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