QSR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The expansion of brands like Tim Hortons and Popeyes fuels growth optimism, supported by investor confidence and innovative marketing Helium.




Bearish Case: Persistently low implied volatility, poor options returns, and weak price action spotlight ongoing challenges and investor caution HeliumHelium.




Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of strong financials lifting QSR's stock, 30% stalled growth from competition pressures, 20% market volatility impacting investor sentiment.




Trading Oracle: Engage in a bearish credit spread: sell $65 calls, buy $67.5 calls for high probability of profit. This leverages Helium's edge with 72% odds and benefits from high implied volatility. Hold over the next 39 days as market balance favors downside risks.



January 14, 2025


Restaurant Brands International Forecast

QSR        Restaurant Brands International











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LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (0.79)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (0.79)


ABEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABEV  Ambev (0.79)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to QSR



TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.0)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.01)


FCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCX  Freeport-McMoRan (-0.02)


APH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APH  Amphenol (-0.02)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against QSR



AGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGX  Argan (-0.76)


ERJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERJ  Embraer (-0.76)


COOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COOP  Mr. Cooper (-0.76)


VIRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIRT  Virtu Financial (-0.77)


FRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRPT  Freshpet (-0.77)









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