QSR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: QSR's focus on digital expansion and international growth, alongside positive social media sentiment, presents a strong potential for upward momentum. Historical return data supports this, indicating a likelihood of price appreciation.




Bearish Case: Low trading volumes and stagnant price action suggest limited movement. Coupled with macroeconomic pressures, including rising costs and operational challenges, the risk of downside remains significant.




Potential Outcomes:

1) 40% chance of increased digital and international sales boosting prices.

2) 30% chance operational costs restrict growth.

3) 20% chance of continued stability with low volatility.

4) 10% risk of a downturn from unexpected macroeconomic challenges.




Trading Oracle: Bearish Long Volatility Strategy is optimal given low implied volatility and potential downside risks. This leverages anticipated volatility without specifying strike prices, aiming for profit from unexpected negative shifts.



April 14, 2025


Restaurant Brands International Forecast

QSR        Restaurant Brands International











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to QSR



APPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APPN  Appian (-0.0)


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UL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UL  Unilever (0.01)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.01)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against QSR



RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.74)


BBAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBAR  BBVA Argentina (-0.74)


BFLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BFLY  Butterfly Network (-0.75)


SUPV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUPV  Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.77)


CHWY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHWY  Chewy (-0.77)









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