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QSR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: The expansion of brands like Tim Hortons and Popeyes fuels growth optimism, supported by investor confidence and innovative marketing Helium.



Bearish Case: Persistently low implied volatility, poor options returns, and weak price action spotlight ongoing challenges and investor caution HeliumHelium.



Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of strong financials lifting QSR's stock, 30% stalled growth from competition pressures, 20% market volatility impacting investor sentiment.



Trading Oracle: Engage in a bearish credit spread: sell $65 calls, buy $67.5 calls for high probability of profit. This leverages Helium's edge with 72% odds and benefits from high implied volatility. Hold over the next 39 days as market balance favors downside risks.


January 14, 2025


Restaurant Brands International Forecast

QSR        Restaurant Brands International

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