VCLT Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: VCLT's recent stability and increased institutional buying signal potential resilience, suggesting it may recover from historical lows as economic conditions stabilize with potential Fed rate cuts.


Bearish Case: Persisting macroeconomic uncertainties and narrowing credit spreads could lead to greater downward pressure on VCLT, especially as elevated implied volatility indicates market apprehension about future performance.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 30% chance VCLT rises due to institutional buying and rate cuts.

2. 40% flat price action, mirroring historical trends.

3. 30% decline due to increased market volatility or recession concerns.


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July 25, 2024


Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond Forecast

VCLT      Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VCLT



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.45)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.02)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.25)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.29)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VCLT



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.02)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.25)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.29)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.45)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VCLT



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.45)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.02)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.25)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.29)


VCLT News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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