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VHT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: VHT benefits from healthcare's stable demand and potential sector growth. Lower forecast volatility compared to SPY suggests market confidence.

Bearish Case: High put option volume indicates bearish sentiment. Mean-reversion tendencies and market uncertainties pose downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: VHT rises >5% (30%): favorable healthcare trends.
Flat (50%): stability and sector resilience.
Drops <5% (20%): economic challenges.

Trading Oracle: Bearish Long Volatility Strategy: Buy $265 strike puts and sell $260 puts. Elevated volatility and mean-reversion suggest potential profit from downside moves, leveraging market uncertainties.

March 26, 2025

Vanguard Health Care Forecast

VHT Vanguard Health Care

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VHT

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.99)

AMT American Tower (0.84)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.8)

KO Coca-Cola (0.79)

LLY Lilly(Eli) (0.76)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VHT

TECL Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3X Shares (0.0)

COF Capital One Financial (0.0)

BHP BHP Group Limited (-0.0)

WVE Wave Life Sciences (0.0)

FND Floor & Decor (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VHT

AAL American Airlines (-0.55)

LAC Lithium Americas (-0.58)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.64)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.7)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.75)

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