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VOX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: VOX benefits from a strong historical return surface showing a positive trend over longer holding periods, supported by rising digital communication demand.

Bearish Case: VOX faces risks from high implied volatility and potential regulatory changes impacting major tech holdings within the fund.

Potential Outcomes: Flat price action (40%) due to mean reversion and high volatility
Moderate uptrend (35%) from continuous demand for digital services
Moderate downtrend (25%) due to regulatory pressures

Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread using slightly ITM calls, focusing on a 2-3 month outlook. Utilize low-volatility calls around the 145 to 150 strikes. This strategy balances upward potential with risk from current volatility levels, providing a high reward-to-risk ratio.

February 05, 2025

Vanguard Communication Services Forecast

VOX Vanguard Communication Services

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VOX

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.98)

ITOT BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market (0.98)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.97)

APP Applovin Corp (0.96)

KNTK Kinetik (0.96)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VOX

EIX Edison International (0.01)

MT New York Shares (0.01)

APG APi (-0.01)

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.01)

AMT American Tower (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VOX

LEA Lear (-0.89)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.9)

AMN AMN Healthcare Services (-0.91)

GES Guess (-0.93)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.97)

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