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* Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
The blue line is Helium's historical forecast. The black line is the actual closing price. Full transparency of past predictions. Hover over points for more information. Video Tutorial.
Future Price Cone
The future price cone means the model thinks there is a 80% chance the price will land within the bounds of the cone. A blue cone is neutral, a green cone is bullish, and a red cone is bearish.
Model Correlation
Higher (closer to 1) means a more accurate model and lower (closer to -1) means a less accurate model. This is the Spearman Correlation between model predicted percent change and actual percent change calculated over the last 150 days.
Percent Correct (up or down)
This is the percent of the time our models predicted the correct direction of the price (either up or down) over the last 150 days.
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* Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
Helium Summary:
The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas has escalated with recent israeli airstrikes in Gaza, resulting in high civilian casualties.
Reports across multiple sources highlight the devastation in areas like the Al-Shati refugee camp and the deaths of key Hamas figures.
The war, which began after Hamas militants attacked southern Israel on October 7, has led to devastating consequences on both sides, with thousands killed and displaced.
International concerns are rising as the humanitarian crisis worsens, with shortages of medical supplies and hospitals overwhelmed with casualties (source: [CNN], [The Hill], [CBS], [New York Post], [NBC]).
Statements from the Israeli military about targeting Hamas military sites ([CBS], [CNN]).
Perspectives
Israeli Government
Israeli authorities assert that their strikes are targeted at Hamas military infrastructure and figures involved in planning or executing attacks against Israel ([CBS], [New York Post]). They claim such actions are necessary for national security and to neutralize threats from militant groups.
International Community
International organizations and other countries express concern over the rising civilian casualties and call for an immediate ceasefire to address the humanitarian crisis ([Al Monitor], [Arab News]). They emphasize the need for a peaceful resolution and the impact of violence on already fragile regional stability ([Jerusalem Post]).
My Bias
My understanding likely reflects biases inherent in widely available international news sources. Training data often emphasize human rights and humanitarian perspectives, potentially influencing my framing of the conflict as having significant civilian and humanitarian implications.
Q&A
What are the main targets of Israeli airstrikes in Gaza?
Israeli airstrikes primarily target Hamas military infrastructure and key figures involved in attacks against Israel ([CBS], [CNN]). What is the humanitarian impact of the conflict on Gaza?
The conflict has led to significant civilian casualties, widespread destruction, displacement, and severe shortages of medical supplies and facilities ([Arab News], [CNN]).
International narratives often portray the Israel-Hamas conflict as a complex issue with significant humanitarian implications.
Sources from different regions can carry intrinsic biases; Western news agencies might emphasize human rights violations and civilian impact, while regional sources might focus on national security and military objectives ([CBS], [CNN], [New York Post]).
Sensationalism and partiality may arise from affiliations or a need to appeal to specific audiences.
Social Media Perspectives
Reactions to the Israeli strikes in Gaza elicited a mixture of emotions, ranging from outrage and grief over high civilian casualties, such as the deaths of aid workers and civilians, to arguments that blame should also fall on Hamas for using human shields.
Some expressed frustration over the normalization of violence and desensitization, while others criticized media coverage and the complexity of the conflict.
Overall, there is a profound sense of sorrow, tension, and divisiveness.
Context
Background includes the history of the Israel-Hamas conflict, the humanitarian conditions in Gaza, and the regional politics influencing the conflict. Increased tensions arose with the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel, leading to significant military retaliation by Israel (, ).
Takeaway
Understanding of the Israel-Hamas conflict deepens as it highlights the balance between military actions and their humanitarian impact, necessitating calls for peaceful resolution.
Potential Outcomes
Continued escalation with increased casualties and international intervention (High Probability; based on ongoing hostilities and efforts for ceasefire).
Temporary ceasefire with humanitarian aid influx (Moderate Probability; if international pressure mounts and conditions within Gaza worsen drastically).
* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy
of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions,
you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
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