ODP Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ODP's potential growth is supported by WINTON GROUP's involvement and its diverse business lines offering resilience against macroeconomic pressures.




Bearish Case: ODP faces declining revenues and macroeconomic challenges. High implied volatility in puts underscores significant downside risks, especially amidst rising unemployment.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Stock Price Decline: 40% chance due to economic downturns.
  2. Moderate Gain: 35% potential from strategic improvements.
  3. Volatility Spike: 25% due to market uncertainty.




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May 10, 2025


ODP Forecast

ODP        ODP











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ODP



ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (0.95)


ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (0.94)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.91)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (0.91)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ODP



DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (0.01)


HAYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HAYW  Hayward (0.02)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.03)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (0.03)


DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (-0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ODP



BK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BK  Bank Of New York Mellon (-0.81)


TJX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TJX  TJX Companies (-0.81)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.81)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.86)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.9)









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