LNG Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Global LNG demand is set to grow by 2.5% in 2024 [Arab News], driven largely by Asia. Cheniere's strategic positioning and expansion activities solidify long-term growth potential [ecns.cn]. Historical returns show positive likelihood over time [https://heliumtrades.com/static/market_graphs/return_surfaces/LNG.png].


Bearish Case: Regulatory uncertainties (e.g., Trump's influence [Common Dreams]), geopolitical tensions [Tass], and potential market saturation or macroeconomic shifts [Helium] could impede Cheniere's growth. LNG term structure shows flat anticipated volatility [https://heliumtrades.com/static/market_graphs/term_structures/LNG.png].


Potential Outcomes: LNG demand continues growing globally (70%), volatile prices impact earnings unpredictably (50%), geopolitical instability drives unexpected price spikes (15%), regulatory changes create disruptions (25%).


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July 18, 2024


Cheniere Energy Forecast

LNG      Cheniere Energy











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LNG



CQP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CQP  Cheniere Energy (0.8)


EQNR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EQNR  Equinor ASA - (0.72)


HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (0.72)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.71)


LEU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEU  Centrus Energy (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LNG



BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (-0.0)


AMBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMBA  Ambarella (0.0)


INSM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSM  Insmed (-0.0)


ABCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABCL  AbCellera Biologics (0.0)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LNG



CRTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRTO  Criteo (-0.75)


CTVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTVA  Corteva (-0.77)


SANA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SANA  Sana Biotechnology (-0.77)


EW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EW  Edwards Lifesciences (-0.78)


HYLN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HYLN  Hyliion (-0.8)





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