Bullish Case: Cheniere Energy's established export supremacy and extensive long-term contracts position it well amid escalating global LNG demands and geopolitical tensions increasing European reliance on non-Russian energy sources, boosting potential returns.


Bearish Case: Recent downturns in LNG prices, coupled with the underperformance in recent quarters and a lower EBITDA, suggest potential profitability challenges. Market saturation and geopolitical risks pose a significant threat.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued demand for LNG driving prices: 40%.

2. Regulatory changes impacting operations: 25%.

3. Enhancement in production capacity leading to surplus: 20%.

4. Geopolitical tension escalation disrupting supply chains: 15%.


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April 18, 2024


Cheniere Energy Forecast

LNG        Cheniere Energy
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)






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