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✅   Asteroid 2024 YR4's Earth impact risk is now negligible

science

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially posing a significant impact threat, has its probability of colliding with Earth drastically reduced to near zero, largely due to enhanced telescope observations and orbital recalculations. Previously, the chance of an impact was estimated at up to 3.1% [11]. Findings now peg this at 0.0017% [9], shifting concern from Earth to the Moon, which carries a slightly higher risk. This update alleviates public fear, criticized as exaggerated by some [2], emphasizing the importance of precise tracking and sustained monitoring [8].

Helium Trades     Feb 28, 2025