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AA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AA's strategic moves in aerospace, green initiatives, and social optimism may boost growth, despite volatility risks.

Bearish Case: High volatility and unresolved labor disputes with potential environmental issues could negatively impact AA’s financials.

Potential Outcomes: Aerospace growth (60%), operational disruptions from labor issues (40%), financial impact from environmental challenges (25%).

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December 28, 2024

Alcoa Forecast

AA Alcoa

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Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AA

CRK Comstock Resources (0.86)

FUTU Futu (0.86)

HSBC HSBC (0.83)

COCO Vita Coco (0.79)

BEKE KE (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AA

OGN Organon (-0.0)

EPR EPR Properties (-0.01)

PDD Pinduoduo (0.01)

URBN Urban Outfitters (0.02)

TNK Teekay Tankers (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AA

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.66)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.66)

COUR Coursera (-0.67)

VSAT Viasat (-0.74)

CNXC Concentrix (-0.74)

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