AAN Forecast


Bullish Case: Aaron's high Zacks Rank, low P/E, low P/S, and recent upward movement suggest a potential value recovery. Mean-reverting price action and short-term AI forecast support moderate gains.


Bearish Case: Recent earnings revisions are negative, implying weak fundamentals. High implied volatility presages potential for significant downward moves. Historical returns generally suggest negative performance.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Value Recognition (30%) +30%.

2. Continued Decline (50%) -20%.

3. Slight Growth (10%) +5%.

4. Exogenous Market Shock (10%) -30%. This is an updated reflection on prior forecast accuracy.


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May 17, 2024


Aarons Forecast

AAN        Aarons
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to AAN



HOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOG  Harley-Davidson (-0.0)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.0)


BROS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BROS  Dutch Bros (0.0)


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Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against AAN



CEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CEG  Constellation Energy (-0.82)


MTRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTRX  Matrix Service (-0.82)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.84)


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (-0.84)


LBRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LBRT  Liberty Oilfield Services (-0.85)





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