AAN Forecast


Bullish Case: AAN may see recovery as historical price return data reveals some potential for significant positive returns with lower holding periods. If market sentiment shifts positively, it could lead to value recognition and higher demand.


Bearish Case: Persistent negative returns dominate the AAN landscape, and continuing weak fundamentals or exogenous shocks could exacerbate downtrends. High implied volatility points to potential for significant price declines in the near term.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Value recognition leading to +30% growth (40% chance);

2. Continued decline of -20% due to weak fundamentals (55% chance);

3. Stabilization with slight +5% growth (5% chance).


Trading Oracle: Consider initiating bullish debit spreads targeting higher volatility expectations as AAN shows potential upswings against historical trends. Look at near-term calls with lower strike prices. A long volatility approach seems favorable, especially pre-earnings or market catalysts.


July 26, 2024


Aarons Forecast

AAN      Aarons











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AAN



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.74)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.32)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.33)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.47)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AAN



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.32)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.33)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.47)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.74)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AAN



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.74)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.32)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.33)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.47)





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