AAPL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: AAPL's strong brand loyalty and emerging AI features are driving momentum. Analysts predict increased sales, especially with positive reception in India. Implied volatility suggests market confidence is on the rise.


Bearish Case: AAPL faces significant headwinds from regulatory scrutiny and declining sales in key markets like China. Elevated implied volatility reflects heightened market uncertainty regarding its future performance.


Potential Outcomes:

1) AI integration boosts sales (65%).

2) Regulatory challenges hinder innovation (30%).

3) iPhone sales stabilize in emerging markets (50%).

4) Mixed Reality headset underperforms (40%).


Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish strategy with a long call spread: Buy AAPL $220 Call (ask $1.46), Sell $230 Call (ask $0.07). Target bullish momentum from upcoming earnings and product launches, while managing risk effectively.


July 25, 2024










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AAPL



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.24)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.03)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.3)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.33)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AAPL



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.03)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.24)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.3)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.33)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AAPL



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.24)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.03)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.3)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.33)





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