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ACES Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The recent increase in ACES's price and decreasing implied volatility suggest a possible bullish sentiment. Positive clean energy developments could further boost prices.

Bearish Case: High historical volatility and recent underperformance highlight risks. Continued market uncertainty and skepticism about clean energy sector sustainability could exert downward pressure.

Potential Outcomes: Mean-reversion (~50%): Stabilizes around $28 due to sector trends.
Bearish trend (~30%): Drops below $24 due to uncertainties.
Volatility spike (~20%): Regulatory changes trigger movement.

May 20, 2025

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Assets that tend to move strongly with ACES

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FSLR First Solar (0.94)

DOW Dow (0.93)

AMD Advanced Micro Devices (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACES

DNA Ginkgo Bioworks (0.01)

HSIC Henry Schein (-0.02)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (-0.02)

ROK Rockwell Automation (0.02)

D Dominion Energy (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACES

BR Broadridge Financial Solutions (-0.79)

VRSN Verisign (-0.81)

CORT Corcept Therapeutics (-0.82)

PPL PPL (-0.84)

ORI Old Republic International (-0.86)

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