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ACES Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential regulatory support and higher clean energy sentiment may drive ACES towards mean-reversion to $30, benefiting from lower volatility.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility at low strike prices indicates market uncertainty. Historical trends suggest a strong possibility of continued price decline below $20.

Potential Outcomes: Mean reversion to $25 (40%) if market stabilizes.
Decline below $20 (30%) due to volatility.
Short-term spike above $28 (30%) with positive news.

April 19, 2025

ALPS Clean Energy Forecast

ACES ALPS Clean Energy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ACES

NTLA Intellia Therapeutics (0.92)

KURA Kura Oncology (0.92)

RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals (0.91)

TAN Invesco Solar (0.91)

CDW CDW (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACES

HSIC Henry Schein (-0.01)

EA Electronic Arts (0.01)

GKOS Glaukos (0.02)

BIP Brookfield Infrastructure (0.02)

HRI Herc (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACES

OUNZ VanEck Merk Gold (-0.8)

AON Aon plc. - (-0.8)

FOXA Fox Corporation - (-0.84)

LRN Stride (-0.87)

OGE Oge Energy (-0.87)

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