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ACES Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ACES's implied volatility for higher strikes is increasing, suggesting a potential positive sentiment. Clean energy growth and regulatory support may drive a rebound.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility at lower price levels signals market uncertainty. Historical data indicates persistent downward pressure; economic challenges could exacerbate declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Price stabilizes around $25 (50%): Driven by mean-reversion trends and sector support.

2. Continued decline below $20 (30%): Economic challenges and market volatility sustain bearish pressure.

3. Short-term spikes above $28 (20%): Positive regulatory or market news triggers temporary increase.

March 21, 2025

ALPS Clean Energy Forecast

ACES ALPS Clean Energy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ACES

ST Sensata (0.86)

TAN Invesco Solar (0.86)

NXPI NXP Semiconductors (0.82)

BIIB Biogen (0.81)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACES

LAC Lithium Americas (-0.0)

RMBS Rambus (-0.01)

DOC Physicians Realty (-0.01)

EXAS Exact Sciences (0.01)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACES

V Visa (-0.65)

BYRN Byrna (-0.66)

BKSY BlackSky Technology (-0.66)

PPC Pilgrim's Pride (-0.66)

DRI Darden Restaurants (-0.68)

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