ACT Forecast


Bullish Case: ACT’s mean-reverting price action and slightly higher implied volatility (by 2%) signal potential upside. The relative likelihood of positive returns over various holding periods supports a bullish outlook.


Bearish Case: Despite a bullish forecast, regulatory uncertainties and high volatility (especially at shorter holding periods) could impose significant risks. Initial option volumes indicate uncertainty in near-term movements.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued volatility with moderate returns (60%).

2. Regulatory headwinds negatively impacting ACT (30%).

3. High volatility scenarios with low returns (10%).


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May 16, 2024


Enact Forecast

ACT      Enact
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)












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