ADC Forecast


Bullish Case: With unusual call volume and increased analyst ratings, ADC’s consistent mean reversion trends and high dividend appeal capitalize on long-term growth.


Bearish Case: Increased put options activity and potential macroeconomic headwinds suggest ADC may face further declines, paired with mean reversion and Helium volatility discrepancies.


Potential Outcomes: 45% chance of moderate rebound due to strong financials, 30% of continued slide from market pressures, 25% stable grounded in steady dividends.


Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish long volatility by buying 2 $65.0 call options (Delta: 0.45), selling 1 $70.0 call option (Delta: 0.13) expiring in ~198 days. Capitalize on favorable long-term trends and mean reversion. High probability of profit leveraging Helium model discrepancies.


July 05, 2024


Agree Realty Forecast

ADC      Agree Realty











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ADC



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.28)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.07)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.17)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ADC



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.07)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.17)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.22)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.28)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ADC



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.28)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.07)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.17)





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