AGIO Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AGIO's successful trial in rare blood disorders and reduced longer-term volatility suggest potential upward movement amid a stable market.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and insider sales, along with leadership changes, could trigger downward pressure despite potential catalysts.




Potential Outcomes: FDA approval by mid-2025 (40%). Stable trading with minor fluctuations (40%). Potential dip due to market skepticism (20%).




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish call debit spread targeting strikes around $35-$40 with May 2025 expiration to leverage reduced term structure volatility and recent trial success. This strategy capitalizes on positive sentiment with controlled risk.



February 21, 2025


Agios Pharmaceuticals Forecast

AGIO        Agios Pharmaceuticals











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LHX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LHX  L3Harris (0.83)


CHDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHDN  Churchill Downs (0.81)


WPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPM  Wheaton Precious Metals (0.76)


KBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KBH  KB Home (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AGIO



ILMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ILMN  Illumina (0.0)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.0)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (0.01)


GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (0.01)


DE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DE  Deere (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AGIO



ABCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABCL  AbCellera Biologics (-0.66)


CORN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORN  Teucrium Corn (-0.68)


PATH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PATH  UiPath (-0.68)


CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (-0.71)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.75)









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