AINC Forecast


Bullish Case: AINC's potential rebound could be driven by strong hospitality sector recovery and strategic asset sales, leading to optimistic market sentiment as travel demand picks up post-pandemic.


Bearish Case: Continued economic downturns may hinder Ashford's recovery, while failure to execute timely asset sales could dampen investor confidence, leading to a decline in AINC's stock price.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Economic recovery boosts AINC significantly (40% chance).

2) Rashford’s role garners positive sentiment for AINC (30% chance).

3) Persistent downturns limit price growth (30% chance).


Trading Oracle: Advise trading bull put debit spreads, targeting 1-3 month expiries, maximizing on potential upside from strategic shifts and sentiment around Rashford's influence. With a moderate bullish view, consider a 60% target return against 40% risk.


July 25, 2024


Ashford Forecast

AINC      Ashford











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AINC



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.38)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.37)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.1)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.49)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AINC



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.1)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.37)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.38)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.49)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AINC



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.38)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.37)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.1)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.49)





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