AKAM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Akamai shows solid security business growth, strong insider buying, and resilient market demand for cloud-security solutions.


Bearish Case: Market volatility, internal stake reductions, and Increased competition in cloud services could drive a downward trend.


Potential Outcomes: 60% for security growth; 40% for market-driven price decline; 50% chance for revenue increase from partnerships.


Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish short volatility strategy using put credit spreads on AKAM. Sell the $90 strike put and buy the $85 strike put expiring in 28 days. This 74% profit probability trade leverages time decay, higher Helium implied edge, and AKAM's mean-reverting price action.


July 22, 2024










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AKAM



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.39)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.36)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.43)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.63)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AKAM



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.36)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.39)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.43)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.63)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AKAM



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.39)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.36)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.43)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.63)





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