AKRO Forecast


Bullish Case: Continuous positive NASH trial results and potential FDA approval propelling AKRO higher. Consistent insider buying and improved institutional sentiment could further elevate the stock price.


Bearish Case: Possible trial setbacks or side effects leading to failure and exacerbated by class-action lawsuits could significantly harm AKRO's credibility and stock price. Continued insider selling would further erode investor confidence.


Potential Outcomes: Successful trial (70%) with milestone approval propelling stock; poor trial (20%) triggering dip; insider buys (10%); sales (30%) impacting sentiment.


Trading Oracle: Engage a bearish long volatility strategy. Buy $27.5 puts, sell $22.5 puts exp. Nov 2024. High implied volatility and mean reversion suggest downside risk. High reward:risk with 68% winning chance. Capitalize on skewed market uncertainty.


July 17, 2024


Akero Therapeutics Forecast

AKRO      Akero Therapeutics











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AKRO



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.36)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.3)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.2)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.0)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AKRO



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.0)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.2)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.3)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.36)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AKRO



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.36)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.3)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.2)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.0)





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