ALV Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ALV's significant call option volume, coupled with technological advancements in automotive safety, sets a favorable stage for growth, as indicated by dropped implied volatility levels.




Bearish Case: Continued supply chain disruptions and competitive pressures from emerging technologies may exacerbate market insecurities, potentially curbing ALV's stability and growth prospects.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of moderate recovery due to innovation demands.
  • 30% chance of flat price action amidst market uncertainty.
  • 20% chance of decline from competitiveness and costs.



April 10, 2025


Autoliv Forecast

ALV        Autoliv











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALV



ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.0)


FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (-0.01)


GKOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GKOS  Glaukos (-0.01)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.01)


TFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TFC  Truist Financial (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALV



TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TW  Tradeweb Markets (-0.67)


ORLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORLY  O'Reilly Automotive (-0.68)


AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (-0.71)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (-0.71)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.77)









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