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COMP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: With a recent spike in call option volume, suggesting increased investor optimism, and upcoming product launches, COMP may break key resistance and rise as market demand for its innovative solutions grows.

Bearish Case: Continued high implied volatilities coupled with economic headwinds may lead to decreased market confidence, potentially stalling any upward momentum and resulting in increased volatility in pricing.

Potential Outcomes: COMP achieves favorable reception of new products (60% chance), boosting revenue.
Interest rate hikes dampen demand (25% chance), leading to reduced sales.
Increased competition bites into market share (15% chance), stalling growth.

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December 15, 2024

Compass Forecast

COMP Compass

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COMP

GWRE Guidewire Software (0.88)

KKR KKR (0.88)

ERJ Embraer (0.87)

ARES Ares (0.87)

ISRG Intuitive Surgical (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COMP

SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics (0.02)

CVGW Calavo Growers (-0.02)

GTLB Gitlab (-0.02)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (-0.02)

NOVA Sunnova Energy International (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COMP

TRIP TripAdvisor (-0.8)

IEP Icahn (-0.8)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.8)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.84)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.9)

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