COMP Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: COMP’s implied volatility is higher in long-term options, signaling potential upside. Helium implied volatility exceeds market volatility, indicating bullish sentiment. Historical returns show low likelihood of large losses after 3 years.


Bearish Case: Near-term volatility is higher, suggesting short-term price instability. The historical return vs. holding years also indicates potential for significant drawdowns in shorter-term holdings. Market skepticism remains.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful business strategies lead to growth (60%).

2. Market conditions limit upside (30%).

3. Competitive pressures and regulatory issues cause decline (10%). Estimated probabilities based on trends and volatility data.


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June 27, 2024


Compass Forecast

COMP      Compass











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COMP



URTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URTY  ProShares UltraPro Russell2000 (0.82)


JWN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JWN  Nordstrom (0.8)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.79)


SON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SON  Sonoco Products (0.79)


BJRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BJRI  BJ's Restaurant (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COMP



EPAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPAM  EPAM Systems (0.0)


MTDR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTDR  Matador Resources (0.0)


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.0)


EXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXPI  eXp World (0.0)


TEAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TEAM  Atlassian (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COMP



UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.64)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.69)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.69)


TWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWM  ProShares UltraShort Russell2000 (-0.7)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.72)





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