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AMC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Retail investor loyalty and potential movie hits can ignite short-term spikes, aided by strategic partnerships, fuelling optimism and stock recovery.



Bearish Case: AMC’s high debt, historical declines, and ongoing share dilution compound threats, amid industry competition and weakening financial health.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Stock stabilizes with strategic partnerships (25%).

2. Debt and dilution pressures cause decline (55%).

3. Meme interest sparks temporary rally (20%).



Trading Oracle: Optimal strategy involves a bearish short volatility position using credit spreads over the next 30 days. Sell ATM calls, hedge with OTM calls to leverage high implied volatility and negative sentiment. This approach offers a high probability of profit and favorable edge without major directional exposure.


February 12, 2025


AMC Entertainment Forecast

AMC        AMC Entertainment

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