AMG Forecast


Bullish Case: AMG's strong earnings and positive market sentiment suggest potential price growth, supported by increased insider buying and strong fundamentals. The bullish implied volatility indicates confidence in a significant upward movement.


Bearish Case: Market uncertainty and high put volume suggest a looming bearish sentiment on AMG, driven by analysts' downgraded earnings expectations and potential operational challenges, indicating risks to downside price movement.


Potential Outcomes:

1. (40%) Continued earnings growth boosts share price above $175.

2. (30%) Market pullback pressures the stock below $160.

3. (20%) Steady performance around current levels due to mixed news.

4. (10%) Major operational issues lead to significant falls.


Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish strategy with a debit spread on AMG calls (e.g., buy August 16, $170 call and sell $175 call) to leverage anticipated volatility increase, aiming for a $10 price increase. This plan capitalizes on the higher implied volatility and current positive trend.


July 25, 2024


Affiliated Managers Forecast

AMG      Affiliated Managers











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMG



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.49)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.59)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.63)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.86)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMG



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.86)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.49)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.59)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.63)





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