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AMG Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: The bullish case hinges on AMG's robust fundamentals, heightened insider buying, and strong historical returns over long horizons indicating a potential recovery. Additionally, increased implied volatility suggests market optimism, positioning AMG for a favorable price rebound above $200.

Bearish Case: The bearish case arises from elevated market uncertainty and a mean-reverting price trend, coupled with significant implied volatility that may fuel decline. Weak overall market sentiment could result in AMG trading below $180 if volatility spikes persist.

Potential Outcomes:

1. (40%) Price recovery above $200 due to strong earnings results.

2. (30%) Decline below $180 spurred by bearish market sentiment.

3. (20%) Sideways movement with price stability around $185 due to mixed news.

4. (10%) Major downturn triggered by market crashes.

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November 19, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AMG

UNM Unum (0.95)

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HBAN Huntington Bancshares (0.92)

MHK Mohawk Industries (0.91)

PHM PulteGroup (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMG

PTON Peloton Interactive (-0.01)

DKNG DraftKings (0.01)

FRO Frontline (0.01)

SRRK Scholar Rock (-0.01)

RRC Range Resources (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMG

CABA Cabaletta Bio (-0.79)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (-0.8)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.8)

BIIB Biogen (-0.85)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.91)

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Market Forecasts

Bullish / Bearish

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Short Volatility

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