AMP Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: AMP's strong historical returns and robust wealth management growth support continued appreciation, especially given the consistent outperformance over multiple tenors.


Bearish Case: Recent insider selling signals caution; short-term stagnation risks persist due to current price action, low implied volatility, and potential market volatility.


Potential Outcomes: Long-term growth (60%) due to stable fundamentals; short-term stagnation (30%) due to current market conditions; mild decline (10%) from speculative risks and insider selling.


Trading Oracle: Implement a bull debit spread: buy September 2024 $420 calls and sell December 2024 $440 calls. Capitalizes on anticipated growth, limiting risk, leveraging AMP's historical performance, and current market undervaluation. This strategy combines positive edge, high reward:risk ratio, and a 70%+ probability-of-profit for profitable trading.


July 18, 2024


Ameriprise Financial Forecast

AMP      Ameriprise Financial











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AMP



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.91)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.47)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.7)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMP



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.47)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.7)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.71)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.91)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMP



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.91)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.47)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.7)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.71)





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