AMR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AMR’s call options volume surpasses puts by 44%, suggesting bullish sentiment. Implied volatility remains stable, fostering manageable risk for upward movement.




Bearish Case: AMR's current price dropped 31.5% in 60 days with a 10% higher AI forecasted volatility than market, signaling potential for further downside due to uncertainty.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance of further decline due to bearish AI forecast.
  • 30% likelihood of stabilization from market correction.
  • 20% chance of recovery driven by strategic energy sector moves.




Trading Oracle: Deploy Bullish Short Volatility Strategy; favor selling ATM puts to mitigate stable implied volatility and capitalize on strategic energy sector prospects.



March 29, 2025


Alta Mesa Resources Forecast

AMR        Alta Mesa Resources











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