AI TBT Forecast + Trading Strategies


Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: Persisting inflation and potential interest rate hikes could drive TBT higher. Helium's volatility indicators and historical return surfaces show favorable long positions. A shift towards increased treasuries could lead to strong demand.


Bearish Case: Should economic recovery solidify or the Fed signal rate cuts, TBT may decline sharply. Current high volatility suggests cautious movements, reinforcing bearish signals from long-term market trends.


Potential Outcomes:

1) TBT rallies to $36 (30% chance); driven by inflation persistence.

2) Stabilizes between $31-$34 (50% chance), reflecting investor caution.

3) Declines below $30 (20% chance) with dovish Fed news.


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September 02, 2024


PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea Forecast

TBT      PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TBT



TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (1.0)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (0.85)


OBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OBE  Obsidian Energy (0.74)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (0.71)


CHAU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHAU  Direxion Daily CSI 300 China A Share Bull 2X Shares (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TBT



CTVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTVA  Corteva (-0.0)


HAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HAS  Hasbro (-0.0)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (0.0)


WSM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WSM  Williams-Sonoma (0.0)


CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMCSA  Comcast (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TBT



VCLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VCLT  Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond (-0.96)


VGLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGLT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (-0.97)


MBB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MBB  BTC iShares MBS (-0.97)


GOVT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOVT  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Treasury Bond (-0.98)


SPTL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPTL  Active Trust - SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury (-0.98)





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