Bullish Case: TBT has shown a pronounced upward trajectory, growing 56.2% over the past two years with Helium's AI predicting an additional 0.62% rise. The mean-reverting nature suggests any dips are potential buying opportunities.


Bearish Case: Despite recent gains, TBT's volatility levels and a near-term downward revision in implied volatility indicate potential overvaluation. Historical data reveals significant odds for a reversion leading to price drops.


Potential Outcomes:

1. TBT rises towards $39.5 (40% probability) led by sustained bullish momentum.

2. Reverts to $36, aligning with historical mean (30%).

3. Declines towards $34 on profit taking (30%).


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April 27, 2024


PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea Forecast

TBT        PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

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S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (-0.0)


FAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FAS  Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (0.0)


UPRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPRO  ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (-0.0)


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PCOR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCOR  Procore (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against TBT



TYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYD  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.95)


EDV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDV  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury (-0.96)


LTPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LTPZ  PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded (-0.96)


MBB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MBB  BTC iShares MBS (-0.97)


VGLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGLT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (-0.98)


TBT News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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