AOM Forecast


Bullish Case: AOM has shown consistent upward trends over various time periods, with strong institutional support and a trending price. Future legislative changes, beneficial healthcare developments, and increasing acceptance of AOMs in older adults will likely drive demand.


Bearish Case: AOM faces high volatility and regulatory risks, including potential backlash from ethical concerns and high medicine costs. Deterioration in economic conditions or an adverse reaction to policy changes could negatively impact prices.


Potential Outcomes: Expect 30% chance of moderate growth due to institutional investments; 25% downside with potential regulation setbacks; 20% probability of sideways movement; 15% chance of significant gains from positive healthcare reforms; 10% risk of sharp decline from economic disturbances.


Trading Oracle: Execute bullish debit spreads (Helium Long Volatility) with a focus on calls around $44-$46 expiring within 60-90 days. High implied volatility and the upward trend supports this strategy. Favorable risk-reward ratio with strong institutional backing and potential policy advancements provide a high probability of profit.


June 30, 2024


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core Moderate Allocation Forecast

AOM      BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core Moderate Allocation











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Assets that tend to move strongly with AOM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.37)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.6)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.67)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AOM



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.37)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.6)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.67)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AOM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.37)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.6)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.67)





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