Bullish Case: Robust cash generation, anticipated coking coal production increase, and substantial capital return strategy could underpin ARCH's stock appreciation.


Bearish Case: Insider selling, a shift away from coal, and lower Q4 earnings signal potential downside pressure on ARCH's stock price.


Potential Outcomes: 70% ARCH follows a mean-reverting trend with modest gains or stability. 20% drop due to environmental pressures and insider sales. 10% strong upside if market fundamentals prevail.


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April 17, 2024


Arch Resources Forecast

ARCH        Arch Resources
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with ARCH



AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AMR]  Alta Mesa Resources (0.95)


AMGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AMGN]  AMGEN (0.91)


HRB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HRB]  H&R Block (0.9)


X Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [X]  United States Steel (0.9)


CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CBOE]  Cboe Global Markets (0.9)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to ARCH



BKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BKR]  Baker Hughes (-0.0)


EQNR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [EQNR]  Equinor ASA - (-0.0)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [IONQ]  IonQ (0.0)


PLNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PLNT]  Planet Fitness (-0.01)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SOFI]  SoFi (0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARCH



STAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [STAA]  Staar Surgical (-0.86)


ZTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ZTO]  ZTO Express (Cayman) (-0.87)


BILI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BILI]  Bilibili (-0.87)


MESO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MESO]  Mesoblast (-0.89)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LAC]  Lithium Americas (-0.89)





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