Price Forecast:

Bullish Case: ARIS may rise due to potential upcoming catalysts, such as infrastructure demands and partnerships in water management, reflecting optimism in social media sentiment and market fundamentals.

Bearish Case: Concerns over high debt levels and regulatory changes in the water management sector could lead to increased volatility and price corrections, especially in uncertain economic conditions.

Potential Outcomes:

• Increased Price to $30 (40% chance) due to strong market demand.
• Range-bound at $25 (30% chance) as investors consolidate.
• Drop to $20 (30% chance) amid economic instability or regulatory challenges.

Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a bullish strategy using a debit spread on ARIS calls. Buy the ARIS 04/17/2025 25.00 C and sell the 30.00 C. High implied volatility suggests strong upward potential with defined risk while targeting max profit as catalysts unfold in the next 4 months.

December 19, 2024