HES Forecast + Trading Strategies

Bullish Case: HES benefits from ongoing investments and stabilization of oil prices, supported by a robust growth outlook in Guyana. Mean-reverting historical price returns and positive Helium implied volatility forecast bolster confident long-term positions.

Bearish Case: Regulatory challenges and market volatility could impact HES's profitability, while current high P/B ratio indicates potential overvaluation. Discrepancies in implied volatility suggest cautious stance on post-earnings outcomes.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Guyana production success boosts price (65%).

2) Regulatory hurdles reduce growth (30%).

3) Market volatility induces fluctuations (5%).

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May 28, 2024

Hess Forecast

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