ARLP Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: ARLP's revenue strength, strategic investments, and favorable energy sector trends could drive growth. The high dividend yield adds to investor appeal as suggested by steady historical returns.


Bearish Case: Operational challenges, high volatility, and geopolitical risks may pressure ARLP’s stock. The term structure indicates potential uncertainty, and energy market instability adds downside pressure.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Moderate growth (40%).

2. Stagnation due to operational issues (35%).

3. Decline amidst energy market instability and operational difficulties (25%).


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July 23, 2024


Alliance Resource Forecast

ARLP      Alliance Resource











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ARLP



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.28)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.26)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.5)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.63)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ARLP



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.26)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.28)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.5)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.63)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARLP



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.28)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.26)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.5)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.63)





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