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AI ASML Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: ASML is positioned to leverage its High NA EUV technology, enhancing semiconductor production efficiency. A surge in AI-driven demand aligns with the historical performance indicating significant long-term price growth.

Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and potential export restrictions may hinder ASML’s market access, alongside rising competition in the semiconductor market, leading to volatility and price declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth driven by AI demand and High NA adoption (40%);

2. Geopolitical risks lead to significant declines (30%);

3. Market correction causes moderate declines (30%).

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September 03, 2024

New York Shares Forecast

ASML New York Shares

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Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ASML

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AMAT Applied Materials (0.95)

SIMO Silicon Motion Technology (0.94)

TECL Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3X Shares (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ASML

ES Eversource Energy (-0.0)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.0)

PATH UiPath (-0.0)

BBIO BridgeBio Pharma (-0.0)

SAVA Cassava Sciences (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ASML

SSRM SSR Mining (-0.87)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.88)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.89)

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.9)

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