ASML Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: ASML's upcoming technological advancements and robust demand from AI-related markets create significant upside potential. The options market indicates a positive sentiment after recent volatility adjustments, with implied volatility stabilizing around 30% as companies increase capacity.




Bearish Case: Recent earnings results have dampened market confidence, reflected in the 16% drop in stock price. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and export controls on advanced equipment could further restrict ASML's business, potentially leading to further declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Upside Recovery (60% probability): Expect a bounce back to $750, driven by improved demand forecasts.
  • Continued Decline (25% probability): Profit warnings lead to a drop to $650.
  • Stagnation (15% probability): Sideways trading around $684, reflecting current market indecision.




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November 26, 2024


New York Shares Forecast

ASML        New York Shares











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