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ASML Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ASML’s strategic position in EUV technology and demand from AI chip makers sustain long-term growth prospects, supported by stabilizing implied volatility and strong historical performance.



Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and elevated valuations pose risks, with recent AI disruptions and trade uncertainties potentially affecting supply chains and investor sentiment.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued growth driven by EUV demand (40%);

2) Geopolitical risks induce decline (30%);

3) Flat trading due to market neutrality (30%).



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January 29, 2025


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ASML        New York Shares

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