BA Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Potential growth due to large defense and commercial orders, solid long-term recovery prospects in aviation.


Bearish Case: Legal troubles, production issues, and negative market sentiment risk further stock declines. Potential short-term volatility spikes.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 60% Continued legal and reputational issues affecting financials.

2. 30% Supply chain improvements and new orders boost revenue.

3. 10% Major regulatory resolution causes sharp recovery.


Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish long volatility play with a 2-month timeframe, aiming for continued swings in IV. Consider buying call spreads as demand recovery could support upside. Trade 3 $190 strike calls expiring Aug 16, 2024, selling 2 $192.5 calls for optimal risk-reward.


July 18, 2024










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BA



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.82)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.66)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.53)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BA



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.53)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.66)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.68)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.82)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BA



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.82)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.66)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.53)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.68)





Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with BA


 Ask any question about BA!