BCS Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Barclays's bullish case hinges on the potential GM credit card deal, strategic restructuring achievements, and favourable digital banking initiatives. Anticipated growth in consumer banking could mitigate broader market risks and attract investor focus.


Bearish Case: Bearish pressures arise from restructuring delays, increased operational costs, and recent underperformance in investment banking. Regulatory challenges and loan demand suppression due to high interest rates contribute to potential downtrends.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Successful GM deal execution by summer 2024 (60% probability): Major revenue plus.

2) Restructuring delays persist past Q2 (70% probability): Costs rise.

3) Digital initiatives outperform expectations (40% probability): Share gain.


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May 01, 2024


Barclays Forecast

BCS        Barclays
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











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