BCS Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Barclays benefits from increased credit card demand, positive momentum from digital initiatives, and supportive monetary policy. The short-term volatility gives investors an opportunity for upside.


Bearish Case: Barclays faces reputational risks from climate protests, regulatory challenges, and the instability of its traditional banking model. Recent options data show elevated volatility which could signal further downward pressure.


Potential Outcomes: Continued growth in credit card demand (55%), Reputation damage affecting stock (40%), Regulatory challenges impacting profitability (30%), Digital initiative outperformance (25%).


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July 17, 2024










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BCS



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.88)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.67)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.64)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.64)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BCS



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.64)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.64)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.67)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.88)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BCS



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.88)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.67)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.64)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.64)





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