BIBL Forecast


Bullish Case: BIBL shows strong historical positive returns, particularly over longer holding periods, suggesting bullish sentiment. Recent implied volatility trends reflect stabilization, indicating confidence in upward movement, especially near 40.00 strikes. Increased demand for options suggests optimism.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility signals market uncertainty, particularly at lower strike prices. This suggests the potential for sharp declines if negative catalysts arise. The bearish outlook is reinforced by recent downward price movements and uncertainties within broader market conditions.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued upward price trend (45%).

2. Temporary market correction (30%).

3. Significant downturn driven by external economic factors (25%). These probabilities are based on historical performance trends and current market sentiment reflected in implied volatility data.


Trading Oracle: Enter a bearish credit spread (BIBL 34.00/36.00 Put Credit Spread expiring in August). This aligns with short-term volatility spikes and higher probabilities of market stabilization. Monitor implied volatility closely to optimize exit strategies for profit realization.


July 25, 2024


Northern Lights Fund Trust IV - Inspire 100 Forecast

BIBL      Northern Lights Fund Trust IV - Inspire 100











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BIBL



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.48)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.62)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.63)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BIBL



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.48)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.62)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.63)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BIBL



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.48)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.62)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.63)





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